Prediction markets, explained without hype
50 research-backed articles on prediction markets, Polymarket mechanics, copy-trading risk and the public cases that shaped the market. Every factual claim links to a primary or reputable source.
Startup Stock Photos / StockSnap · CC0Copy Trading vs Manual Trading
An honest comparison of copying and trading prediction markets yourself: time, control, learning, fees, execution and the conditions under which each approach makes sense.
Matt Moloney / StockSnap · CC0Fees and Net Returns in Copy Trading
How subscription fees, Polymarket taker fees, slippage and transfer costs turn a leader's gross return into your net return, with a full worked example.
Direct Media / StockSnap · CC0How to Evaluate a Trader Before Copying
A practical way to read a prediction-market track record: sample size, realized versus unrealized profit, return on capital, win-rate traps, drawdown and concentration.
Bench Accounting / StockSnap · CC0Position Sizing for Copy Trading
Fixed versus proportional sizing, binary-payoff math, correlation and a worked example showing why a copied position should be sized by maximum loss, not by the leader's percentage.
Bench Accounting / StockSnap · CC0Risk Controls for Copy Trading
The controls that keep a copied portfolio survivable: maximum loss per position and event, drawdown stops, a tested kill switch, and pause rules that distinguish bad luck from a broken process.
Startup Stock Photos / StockSnap · CC0Slippage and Latency in Copy Trading
Why copied fills differ from the leader's, how order-book depth and delay turn a winning signal into a losing trade, and which prediction markets are structurally hard to copy.
Startup Stock Photos / StockSnap · CC0The Recurring Mistakes in Copy Trading
The mistakes that repeat across copy-trading accounts: chasing recent profit, ignoring drawdown, oversizing, copying illiquid markets, having no exit plan and over-diversifying.
Matt Moloney / StockSnap · CC0What Is Copy Trading — and What Does It Actually Copy?
How copy trading works in prediction markets, what a copied trade actually mirrors, how wallet permissions differ from platform accounts, and where the risks come from.