// REFLECT JOURNAL

Prediction markets, explained without hype

50 research-backed articles on prediction markets, Polymarket mechanics, copy-trading risk and the public cases that shaped the market. Every factual claim links to a primary or reputable source.

50 articles6 categoriesSources linked in every piece
Ballot box — illustrative imageWikimedia Commons · CC BY-SA
PolymarketNov 8, 2026

How Polymarket Election Markets Work — and Where They Break

A trader's guide to election contracts: state-level structure, resolution sources, liquidity cycles, base rates versus polls, and the documented disputes.

6 min readRead
Kashima Stadium — illustrative imageWikimedia Commons · CC0
PolymarketNov 8, 2026

How Polymarket Sports Markets Work: Events, Resolution and In-Play Risk

A trader's guide to Polymarket sports contracts: moneyline, spreads and totals, companion events, kickoff order cancellation, in-play delays, fees and the risks that decide the trade.

6 min readRead
Bitcoin Finance — illustrative imageIcons8 team / StockSnap · CC0
PolymarketNov 8, 2026

Polymarket Fees Explained: The Taker Formula, Rebates and Real Costs

How Polymarket's price-dependent taker fee works, what makers pay and receive, how rebates change the math, and which costs never appear on the fee page.

5 min readRead
Laptop Working — illustrative imageBurst / StockSnap · CC0
PolymarketNov 8, 2026

Polymarket in the US: What the CFTC Settlement Changed

Polymarket can serve US residents only through Polymarket US, a separate CFTC-regulated exchange. Here is what the 2022 order did, how the 2025 re-entry worked, and what the current rules mean for traders.

5 min readRead
Bitcoin Finance — illustrative imageIcons8 team / StockSnap · CC0
PolymarketNov 8, 2026

Polymarket Liquidity Rewards: Scoring, Maker Rebates and Net Economics

How Polymarket pays market makers through liquidity rewards and maker rebates, how the scoring formula works, and why the headline rate is not the return.

6 min readRead
Code Coding — illustrative imageNegative Space / StockSnap · CC0
PolymarketNov 8, 2026

Polymarket Order Types: GTC, GTD, FOK, FAK and Post-Only

How Polymarket's four order lifetimes work, when a market order is really a limit order, how post-only protects maker status, and how fills walk the book.

6 min readRead
Mobile Smartphone — illustrative imageJESHOOTS.com / StockSnap · CC0
PolymarketNov 8, 2026

Polymarket Wallets and Deposits: Deposit Wallets, Bridges and Withdrawals

How Polymarket's smart wallets work, which chains and assets you can deposit, how withdrawals unwind pUSD, and the operational risks and records that matter.

6 min readRead
Technology Network — illustrative imageHD Wallpapers / StockSnap · CC0
PolymarketNov 8, 2026

The Polymarket API for Traders: Data API, CLOB and WebSockets

Which Polymarket API to use for market data, positions and order execution, how authentication and rate limits work, and where automated trading breaks.

6 min readRead
Finance Flatlay — illustrative imageArtsy Crafty / StockSnap · CC0
PolymarketNov 8, 2026

What Is Polymarket? Prediction Markets, the CLOB and Polygon Settlement

A practical explainer on how Polymarket works: outcome tokens, the central limit order book, Polygon settlement, who can trade, and the risks that remain after the trade settles.

5 min readRead